The race Tour de France 2017 is covering a distance of 3547 kilometers on 21 stages from Düsseldorf to Paris, Champs-Élysées, starting on Saturday July 1st.
Let’s have a quick look at the odds on the Winner market…
According to Chris Froome, “Richie Porte is now the favorite for Tour de France“. Mind games or an honest assessment from Froome? Maybe a bit of both.
The Australian Richie Porte held the Criterium du Dauphine‘s yellow jersey for a little while but ended second of the race, beaten by Jakob Fuglsang, while Chris Froome took the 4th place.
Following this result, Porte’s odds for the win in Tour de France quickly dropped from @5.0 to @3.35.
The Australian has now plenty of confidence. His time-trial win on Stage 4 of Criterium du Dauphine was a major positive going into the Tour, and his performance on the final climb of the race to catch and pass nearly all his main rivals, Froome included, impressed many observers. So backing him above @3.50 might be tempting.
How about Chris Froome…
His odds moved from 2.10 to @2.68 following the Criterium.
The Dauphine did not tell us too much about Froome. He reminded us of his mindset and desire to win every race he takes part in. Yet while Froome is not a pure climber in the traditional sense, seeing him distanced on the Plateau de Solaison on Sunday by rider after rider, then having no answer as Porte relentlessly closed in from behind and distanced him, could be telling as we are not used to this vulnerable picture of Froome going into the Tour.
Nairo Quitana (@8.8) did not take part in the Criterium but looked impressive mentally and physically in Italy when he won the Giro the hard way. The biggest question now: will he have recovered?
According to former champion Greg LeMond, recovering is mainly psychological but LeMond thinks Quintana “lacks the ability to attack and his time trial needs to be improved. He is too steady and needs some explosiveness to be able to drop people.”
LeMond also believes Spain’s former winner Alberto Contador (Trek-Segafredo) will be dangerous after skipping the Giro: “I would not be surprised if Contador was on top of his game. I think he tried to pull off too much last year with the Giro so wouldn’t be surprised if he was right there. He didn’t have much help last year and had some bad luck and that’s all it takes to throw you off.”
Contador (available @21 today for the win in Paris) held firm through most of the Criterium du Dauphine, but dropped in the final kilometers to fall in the final standings to 11th overall. The Spaniard had not shown his usual hunger that week but is still confident in his build-up ahead of his season’s biggest goal. Although he is satisfied with his feeling at this point, he did not deny he has work to do ahead of July.
Fabio Aru (@21) looked better on the big climbs than his 5th place suggests, but losing to teammate Fuglsang leaves questions about his capability to lead his team Astana effectively in France.
Valverde (@38) obtained another top 10 place in a stage race, and we can expect him to do the same in the Tour de France. But he is expected to ride for Nairo Quintana…
And we are with the intriguing prospect of an in-form and confident Jakob Fuglsang (@28) riding with panache. Before the Dauphine, Fuglsang had never triumphed on the WorldTour. He now has two stage wins and an overall victory. And if his individual performance was stunning, his team Astana’s collective punch was even more remarkable.
So, have you decided who to back or lay? Don’t hesitate to leave your predictions by using the comment box below.