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21 Jun 2015

England v New Zealand T20 Betting: England the pick again

Following their thrilling performance in the one-day series England will be expected to entertain again in the shortest version of the sport. Their attack-at-all-costs attitude should be suited to T20.

The squad remains pretty much the same apart from three changes. James Vince, the Hampshire batsman, Reece Topley, the left-arm Essex pacer come in while Jonny Bairstow will keep wicket in place of the injured Jos Buttler.

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Sam Billings, Mark Wood and David Willey, like Vince and Topley, are uncapped. There is no place for former captain Stuart Broad, another sure sign that England have dispensed with the old guard in the limited-overs formats.

Since January 2014 England have lost nine of the 12 matches they have played although the significant change of mindset suggests we should not be too worried about that.

New Zealand
New Zealand also pick from pretty much the same squad although there is currently no place for left-armer Ben Wheeler, who replaced Trent Boult for the ODIs. Whether that changes in light of his 28-ball 39 at Chester-le-Street on Saturday remains to be seen.

The Kiwis could give Tom Latham, the 23-year-old batsman, a run out as he has sat dutifully on the sidelines since the end of the Test series. Andrew Mathieson, the fast bowler, may also be given another chance. Be aware that Tim Southee, who could do with a rest, may miss out.

New Zealand have won eight of their 13 completed matches in the last two years but they have not won back-to-back T20s in their last seven which suggests they are not as consistent as the former stat would have you believe.

First-innings runs
There have only been four T20s at Old Trafford, only three had completed first-innings and two produced no result. The scores in those three games were: 123-145-165. The 123 was by the Kiwis against England in 2008. Unsurprisingly the hosts won by nine wickets. The scores in the four domestic Blast games at the venue this season are: 131-155-201-163.

Match Odds
Rather surprisingly New Zealand’s bogey team in T20 is England. They have played them 12 times and have won just four. From February 2008 to February 2013 they lost six consecutive matches.

However, they have won the last two meetings, most recently in Chittagong by nine runs last year in the World Cup. The Kiwis were a little lucky as rain meant that a D-L revised target in five overs was knocked off with ease.

The previous clash came at The Oval in 2013 and it was a thriller. Set 202 to win, England came mighty close and were restricted to 196.
That contest was consistent with the recent excellent ODI series and another tight game could be on the cards. Over the last few weeks these two have proved to be well matched so, naturally, we are going to side with team who enjoy bigger odds.

It is England again. They are 2.04 in an immature market so you might bet bigger. New Zealand are 1.84. Rarely for Manchester, the weather forecast is good. Well, I say good, there is no sun but there’s no rain, either.

Top England runscorer
Alex Hales and Eoin Morgan have reasonable records against the Kiwis in T20. Hales has 167 runs at 33 and Morgan 148 at 24. The latter top scored for England at Old Trafford in their last full innings with 49 against South Africa in 2011. Jonny Bairstow, after his heroics in Durham, will be a chunky price.

Top New Zealand runscorer
Brendon McCullum did not manage to top score during the ODI series, hurting backers who had pushed his price no better than 4.50 for the majority. Could now be his time? An average of 27 against England would suggest not. Martin Guptill and Kane Williamson have superior records, albeit over much shorter game time. Ross Taylor averages just 19.

Recommended Bet
Back England at 2.04

Ed Hawkins previews the one-off T20 contest at Old Trafford on Tuesday between two sides who have produced some entertaining one-day cricket over the last two weeks..

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